2007 Spring Experiment Ensemble Forecast

2007052221 +15h

Observation: NEXRAD Composite Reflectivity Mosaic (data provided by NSSL/NMQ)

CREF

Postage-Stamp Chart -- Composite Reflectivity

CN N1P1
N2 P2PH1
PH2 PH3PH4
PH5

                 Ensemble Mean  - Composite Reflectivity                                      Spread - Composite Reflectivity

  cmpref mean    cmpref spread

 "Spaghetti"  - Composite Reflectivity = 40 dBZ


spg cz40

Ensemble Probability  - Composite Reflectivity >= 35 dBZ

prob cz35


                     Observation: Q2RAD HSR-1H  (data provided by NSSL/NMQ)

1h rain

Ensemble Probability  - 1h accumulated precipitation >= 0.1 in

prob acc010